পাউয়েলের বিরুদ্ধে ট্রাম্পের চিৎকার

**ফেড vs. ફાયરব্র‌্যাণ্ড: সততা-সঙ্গীত

ট্রাম্প 17বার (জানুয়ারি থেকে)হওয়াদধিক? “অতিরিক্‌ত, मিস্‍টर पॉउल”, কথা ‘পণশোভা’ -মতো।

কিন্তু, $31টি trillions-এর economy-এ tariffs + rhetoric-এ ‘শান्ति’ চাওয়া?

আমি Eth gas fee models-এ ‘উচচ’ হওয়াদধিক?

আজও markets emotion-এ, signal-এ reactivity.

**ফলক: Trump’s Rate Cut Demand & Why It Fails

গণমত: inflation is down—Trump wants cuts not because of that, but because his own policies are creating friction. Tariffs → higher import cost → inflation risk → demand rate cuts to cancel own damage. Not economics—fiscal whiplash. He claims 200 bps cut saves $800B/year on debt. Smart? No. Dangerous? Yes. in my model since 2023: artificial demand suppression leads to volatility spikes—exactly what happens when expectations diverge from reality.

**What Powell Actually Sees (Spoiler: Not Chaos) Powers aren’t blind—they see: • Unemployment stable at 4.5% • Hourly wages grow at 4% YoY • GDP slightly contracted Q1 2025—but real spending up ~1.8% • Inflation cooling slowly but steadily toward target Yes, soft indicators like PMI weak—but hard data says no recession yet. The discipline isn’t stubbornness; it’s restraint. As a Layer2 chain risk modeler under volatile conditions—I respect this kind of control. The moment you cut rates based on hope instead of evidence? You get inflation reboots—and higher long-term yields that hurt everyone.